Our Thinking

Economic trends and changes in investment market price levels are loosely correlated, but an understanding of relationships is useful for setting investment strategy.

While economic and market variables are not perfectly correlated, an understanding of their interactions is important. As a result, a look at long-range projections relative to historical outcomes certainly is warranted.

Hundreds of indexes are available today for measuring trends in and performance of financial markets. The perspective here provides some thoughts on market indexes, their construction and use, with implications for financial markets and portfolio construction.

The perspective here provides some thoughts on the use of debt across the economy with its implications for economic activity and financial markets.

Investments in precious metals can be found in a portfolio, primarily gold and silver. These metals are considered precious as they are thought to be valuable, rare and durable. But what role do they play in a portfolio.

An important assessment of fiscal policy is its impact on the well-being of the electorate. The perspective here provides some comparisons that might be useful for assessing the economic environment ahead and investment implications.

Finding one big beautiful investment in which to anchor a portfolio is a wishful pursuit. The perspective here provides some comparisons that might be useful for determining what portfolio structures and strategies merit greater attention over time.

With a contraction in real U.S. economic growth in the first quarter of 2025, concerns over an outright recession have risen.

A common diversification strategy involves setting the allocations between U.S. stocks and stocks domiciled in the rest of the world.